Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 60% of their games, both teams scoring in 56%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 43%. On the record this leans a goals match.
Forfar Athletic: 48 league matches in the bank, 12 from this season and the rest from last season. Edinburgh City: 48 league matches in the bank, 12 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Forfar Athletic's numbers over its games, Edinburgh City's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Forfar Athletic's own 23 home matches read, one appeared in 10 (43%). In Edinburgh City's own 24 away matches read, 10 (42%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 43% of games.
The two sides
Forfar Athletic -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 26 of its own 48 (54%); over 1.5 in 36 (75%); over 3.5 in 14 (29%). At home: over 2.5 in 12 of its 23 (52%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 26 of its own 48 (54%). At home: 11 of its 23 (48%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 14 of its own 48 (29%); failed to score in 11 (23%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Forfar Athletic's own 48 matches read: Forfar Athletic or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 21 (44%). Forfar Athletic itself held the lead in 11, winning 9. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 10 of 23.
Edinburgh City -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 32 of its own 48 (67%); over 1.5 in 40 (83%); over 3.5 in 22 (46%). Away: over 2.5 in 14 of its 24 (58%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 28 of its own 48 (58%). Away: 12 of its 24 (50%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 9 of its own 48 (19%); failed to score in 15 (31%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Edinburgh City's own 48 matches read: Edinburgh City or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 28 (58%). Edinburgh City itself held the lead in 10, winning 9. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 10 of 24.
Built 18:04 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.