Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 54% of their games, both teams scoring in 56%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 52%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.
Annan Athletic: 48 league matches in the bank, 12 from this season and the rest from last season. Kelty Hearts: 48 league matches in the bank, 12 from this season and the rest from last season in the Scottish League One.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Annan Athletic's numbers over its games, Kelty Hearts's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Annan Athletic's own 24 home matches read, one appeared in 12 (50%). In Kelty Hearts's own 24 away matches read, 13 (54%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 52% of games.
The two sides
Annan Athletic -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 26 of its own 48 (54%); over 1.5 in 36 (75%); over 3.5 in 17 (35%). At home: over 2.5 in 13 of its 24 (54%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 27 of its own 48 (56%). At home: 16 of its 24 (67%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 10 of its own 48 (21%); failed to score in 13 (27%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Annan Athletic's own 48 matches read: Annan Athletic or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 24 (50%). Annan Athletic itself held the lead in 10, winning 7. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 12 of 24.
Kelty Hearts -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 26 of its own 48 (54%); over 1.5 in 40 (83%); over 3.5 in 13 (27%). Away: over 2.5 in 14 of its 24 (58%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 27 of its own 48 (56%). Away: 14 of its 24 (58%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 6 of its own 48 (12%); failed to score in 17 (35%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Kelty Hearts's own 48 matches read: Kelty Hearts or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 25 (52%). Kelty Hearts itself held the lead in 8, winning 6. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 13 of 24.
Built 18:04 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.