Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 38% of their games, both teams scoring in 35%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 64%. On the record this leans a tight match.
Raith Rovers: 49 league matches in the bank, 13 from this season and the rest from last season. Dunfermline Athletic: 49 league matches in the bank, 13 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Raith Rovers's numbers over its games, Dunfermline Athletic's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Raith Rovers's own 24 home matches read, one appeared in 18 (75%). In Dunfermline Athletic's own 25 away matches read, 13 (52%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 64% of games.
The two sides
Raith Rovers -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 19 of its own 49 (39%); over 1.5 in 38 (78%); over 3.5 in 9 (18%). At home: over 2.5 in 11 of its 24 (46%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 16 of its own 49 (33%). At home: 9 of its 24 (38%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 21 of its own 49 (43%); failed to score in 20 (41%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Raith Rovers's own 49 matches read: Raith Rovers or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 30 (61%). Raith Rovers itself held the lead in 14, winning 14. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 18 of 24.
Dunfermline Athletic -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 18 of its own 49 (37%); over 1.5 in 34 (69%); over 3.5 in 12 (24%). Away: over 2.5 in 9 of its 25 (36%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 18 of its own 49 (37%). Away: 9 of its 25 (36%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 22 of its own 49 (45%); failed to score in 14 (29%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Dunfermline Athletic's own 49 matches read: Dunfermline Athletic or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 24 (49%). Dunfermline Athletic itself held the lead in 12, winning 12. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 13 of 25.
Built 18:03 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.