Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 55% of their games, both teams scoring in 53%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 52%. On the record this leans a goals match.
Montrose: 49 league matches in the bank, 13 from this season and the rest from last season. East Fife: 49 league matches in the bank, 13 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Montrose's numbers over its games, East Fife's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Montrose's own 24 home matches read, one appeared in 16 (67%). In East Fife's own 24 away matches read, 9 (38%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 52% of games.
The two sides
Montrose -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 30 of its own 49 (61%); over 1.5 in 44 (90%); over 3.5 in 16 (33%). At home: over 2.5 in 16 of its 24 (67%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 28 of its own 49 (57%). At home: 11 of its 24 (46%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 8 of its own 49 (16%); failed to score in 13 (27%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Montrose's own 49 matches read: Montrose or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 27 (55%). Montrose itself held the lead in 12, winning 11. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 16 of 24.
East Fife -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 24 of its own 49 (49%); over 1.5 in 37 (76%); over 3.5 in 8 (16%). Away: over 2.5 in 11 of its 24 (46%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 24 of its own 49 (49%). Away: 12 of its 24 (50%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 10 of its own 49 (20%); failed to score in 19 (39%).
Two goals clear
Counted over East Fife's own 48 matches read: East Fife or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 19 (40%). East Fife itself held the lead in 3, winning 3. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 9 of 24.
Built 18:04 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.