Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 48% of their games, both teams scoring in 41%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 42%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.
Cove Rangers: 48 league matches in the bank, 12 from this season and the rest from last season. Hamilton Academical: 49 league matches in the bank, 13 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Cove Rangers's numbers over its games, Hamilton Academical's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Cove Rangers's own 23 home matches read, one appeared in 7 (30%). In Hamilton Academical's own 24 away matches read, 13 (54%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 42% of games.
The two sides
Cove Rangers -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 19 of its own 48 (40%); over 1.5 in 33 (69%); over 3.5 in 9 (19%). At home: over 2.5 in 7 of its 23 (30%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 19 of its own 48 (40%). At home: 9 of its 23 (39%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 12 of its own 48 (25%); failed to score in 22 (46%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Cove Rangers's own 47 matches read: Cove Rangers or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 20 (43%). Cove Rangers itself held the lead in 7, winning 7. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 7 of 23.
Hamilton Academical -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 28 of its own 49 (57%); over 1.5 in 36 (73%); over 3.5 in 15 (31%). Away: over 2.5 in 16 of its 24 (67%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 21 of its own 49 (43%). Away: 10 of its 24 (42%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 21 of its own 49 (43%); failed to score in 11 (22%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Hamilton Academical's own 49 matches read: Hamilton Academical or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 25 (51%). Hamilton Academical itself held the lead in 18, winning 17. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 13 of 24.
Built 18:04 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.