Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 54% of their games, both teams scoring in 50%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 48%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.
Cove Rangers: 47 league matches in the bank, 11 from this season and the rest from last season. East Kilbride: 47 league matches in the bank, 11 from this season and the rest from last season in the Scottish League Two.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Cove Rangers's numbers over its games, East Kilbride's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Cove Rangers's own 23 home matches read, one appeared in 7 (30%). In East Kilbride's own 23 away matches read, 15 (65%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 48% of games.
The two sides
Cove Rangers -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 19 of its own 47 (40%); over 1.5 in 33 (70%); over 3.5 in 9 (19%). At home: over 2.5 in 7 of its 23 (30%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 19 of its own 47 (40%). At home: 9 of its 23 (39%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 11 of its own 47 (23%); failed to score in 22 (47%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Cove Rangers's own 46 matches read: Cove Rangers or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 20 (43%). Cove Rangers itself held the lead in 7, winning 7. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 7 of 23.
East Kilbride -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 32 of its own 47 (68%); over 1.5 in 43 (91%); over 3.5 in 22 (47%). Away: over 2.5 in 15 of its 23 (65%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 28 of its own 47 (60%). Away: 14 of its 23 (61%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 12 of its own 47 (26%); failed to score in 7 (15%).
Two goals clear
Counted over East Kilbride's own 47 matches read: East Kilbride or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 34 (72%). East Kilbride itself held the lead in 25, winning 23. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 15 of 23.
Built 17:08 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.