-0.10 points a game is the venue form gap, in Bolton Wanderers's favour: Derby County takes 1.40 a game at home over the last two seasons, Bolton Wanderers 1.50 away.
Derby County: 50 league matches in the bank, 14 from this season and the rest from last season. Bolton Wanderers: 50 league matches in the bank, 14 from this season and the rest from last season in the League One.
The question this step asks
Step two is HOME AND AWAY FORM -- the home side judged on its home record, the away side on its away record, because those are the records that will be on the pitch. The last five reach back into last season where this season is too young to answer, and say so.
The two sides
Derby County -- at home
Its record at the relevant venue
This season at home: won 0, drew 2, lost 5 of 7, scoring 4 and conceding 14. Last season at home: won 10, drew 3, lost 5 of 18, scoring 25 and conceding 18 -- 1.83 points a game.
Its last five league matches
Newest first: lost to Norwich City 0-4 at home; lost to Millwall 1-4 away; drew with Sheffield United 1-1 away; lost to Stoke City 0-1 at home; lost to Queens Park Rangers 1-4 away.
The dugout
Every one of the 36 banked matches with a manager recorded was taken by John Eustace. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures.
Bolton Wanderers -- away
Its record at the relevant venue
This season away: won 3, drew 2, lost 2 of 7, scoring 10 and conceding 11. Last season away in the League One: won 6, drew 7, lost 4 of 17, scoring 20 and conceding 17 -- 1.47 points a game.
Its last five league matches
Newest first: beat Charlton Athletic 1-0 away; lost to Bristol City 2-3 at home; lost to Middlesbrough 1-5 at home; drew with Southampton 0-0 away; beat Wolverhampton Wanderers 3-1 away.
The dugout
Every one of the 24 banked matches with a manager recorded was taken by Steven Schumacher. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures.
Built 18:04 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.