Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 68% of their games, both teams scoring in 58%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 63%. On the record this leans a goals match.
Manchester City Women: 30 league matches in the bank, 8 from this season and the rest from last season. West Ham United Women: 30 league matches in the bank, 8 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Manchester City Women's numbers over its games, West Ham United Women's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Manchester City Women's own 15 home matches read, one appeared in 11 (73%). In West Ham United Women's own 15 away matches read, 8 (53%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 63% of games.
The two sides
Manchester City Women -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 23 of its own 30 (77%); over 1.5 in 25 (83%); over 3.5 in 14 (47%). At home: over 2.5 in 12 of its 15 (80%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 20 of its own 30 (67%). At home: 10 of its 15 (67%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 9 of its own 30 (30%); failed to score in 2 (7%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Manchester City Women's own 30 matches read: Manchester City Women or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 18 (60%). Manchester City Women itself held the lead in 16, winning 16. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 11 of 15.
West Ham United Women -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 18 of its own 30 (60%); over 1.5 in 22 (73%); over 3.5 in 11 (37%). Away: over 2.5 in 8 of its 15 (53%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 15 of its own 30 (50%). Away: 5 of its 15 (33%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 4 of its own 30 (13%); failed to score in 12 (40%).
Two goals clear
Counted over West Ham United Women's own 30 matches read: West Ham United Women or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 17 (57%). West Ham United Women itself held the lead in 5, winning 5. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 8 of 15.
Built 13:33 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.