+1.33 points a game is the venue form gap, in Chelsea Women's favour: Chelsea Women takes 2.47 a game at home over the last two seasons, Everton Women 1.13 away.
Chelsea Women: 30 league matches in the bank, 8 from this season and the rest from last season. Everton Women: 30 league matches in the bank, 8 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step two is HOME AND AWAY FORM -- the home side judged on its home record, the away side on its away record, because those are the records that will be on the pitch. The last five reach back into last season where this season is too young to answer, and say so.
The two sides
Chelsea Women -- at home
Its record at the relevant venue
This season at home: won 3, drew 1, lost 0 of 4, scoring 10 and conceding 3. Last season at home: won 9, drew 0, lost 2 of 11, scoring 20 and conceding 8 -- 2.45 points a game.
Its last five league matches
Newest first: beat Charlton Athletic Ladies 6-0 away; beat Crystal Palace Ladies 3-1 away; beat Tottenham Hotspur Women 6-2 at home; beat West Ham United Women 3-0 away; beat Arsenal Women 1-0 at home.
The dugout
Every one of the 16 banked matches with a manager recorded was taken by Sonia Bompastor. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures.
Everton Women -- away
Its record at the relevant venue
This season away: won 1, drew 0, lost 3 of 4, scoring 2 and conceding 5. Last season away: won 4, drew 2, lost 5 of 11, scoring 14 and conceding 15 -- 1.27 points a game.
Its last five league matches
Newest first: drew with Manchester United Women 0-0 at home; lost to Aston Villa Ladies 2-3 at home; lost to London City Lionesses 1-2 away; beat Birmingham City Women 2-1 at home; lost to Liverpool Women 0-2 away.
The dugout
The banked record belongs to the club, not one man: 2 different managers took its 6 matches with one recorded (5, 1 apiece), most recently Brian Sorensen with 1. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures.
Built 13:33 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.