Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 47% of their games, both teams scoring in 48%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 39%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.
Aberdeen: 49 league matches in the bank, 11 from this season and the rest from last season. Hibernian: 49 league matches in the bank, 11 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Aberdeen's numbers over its games, Hibernian's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Aberdeen's own 25 home matches read, one appeared in 9 (36%). In Hibernian's own 24 away matches read, 10 (42%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 39% of games.
The two sides
Aberdeen -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 18 of its own 49 (37%); over 1.5 in 35 (71%); over 3.5 in 12 (24%). At home: over 2.5 in 9 of its 25 (36%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 18 of its own 49 (37%). At home: 11 of its 25 (44%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 12 of its own 49 (24%); failed to score in 22 (45%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Aberdeen's own 49 matches read: Aberdeen or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 23 (47%). Aberdeen itself held the lead in 7, winning 7. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 9 of 25.
Hibernian -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 28 of its own 49 (57%); over 1.5 in 38 (78%); over 3.5 in 12 (24%). Away: over 2.5 in 14 of its 24 (58%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 29 of its own 49 (59%). Away: 15 of its 24 (62%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 11 of its own 49 (22%); failed to score in 13 (27%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Hibernian's own 49 matches read: Hibernian or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 22 (45%). Hibernian itself held the lead in 15, winning 13. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 10 of 24.
Built 18:05 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.