Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 53% of their games, both teams scoring in 61%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 46%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.
Stranraer: 48 league matches in the bank, 12 from this season and the rest from last season. Stirling Albion: 48 league matches in the bank, 12 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Stranraer's numbers over its games, Stirling Albion's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Stranraer's own 24 home matches read, one appeared in 6 (25%). In Stirling Albion's own 24 away matches read, 16 (67%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 46% of games.
The two sides
Stranraer -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 23 of its own 48 (48%); over 1.5 in 36 (75%); over 3.5 in 14 (29%). At home: over 2.5 in 8 of its 24 (33%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 29 of its own 48 (60%). At home: 15 of its 24 (62%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 11 of its own 48 (23%); failed to score in 12 (25%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Stranraer's own 48 matches read: Stranraer or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 19 (40%). Stranraer itself held the lead in 12, winning 11. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 6 of 24.
Stirling Albion -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 28 of its own 48 (58%); over 1.5 in 41 (85%); over 3.5 in 18 (38%). Away: over 2.5 in 16 of its 24 (67%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 30 of its own 48 (62%). Away: 16 of its 24 (67%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 7 of its own 48 (15%); failed to score in 12 (25%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Stirling Albion's own 48 matches read: Stirling Albion or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 28 (58%). Stirling Albion itself held the lead in 7, winning 7. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 16 of 24.
Built 18:04 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.