+0.96 points a game is the venue form gap, in Elgin City's favour: Elgin City takes 1.58 a game at home over the last two seasons, Dumbarton 0.62 away.
Elgin City: 48 league matches in the bank, 12 from this season and the rest from last season. Dumbarton: 48 league matches in the bank, 12 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step two is HOME AND AWAY FORM -- the home side judged on its home record, the away side on its away record, because those are the records that will be on the pitch. The last five reach back into last season where this season is too young to answer, and say so.
The two sides
Elgin City -- at home
Its record at the relevant venue
This season at home: won 3, drew 2, lost 1 of 6, scoring 16 and conceding 9. Last season at home: won 8, drew 3, lost 7 of 18, scoring 28 and conceding 26 -- 1.50 points a game.
Its last five league matches
Newest first: beat Kelty Hearts 1-0 away; drew with Edinburgh City 0-0 at home; beat Forfar Athletic 2-1 away; beat Clyde 6-2 at home; lost to Stranraer 1-5 at home.
The dugout
Every one of the 10 banked matches with a manager recorded was taken by Allan Hale. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures.
Dumbarton -- away
Its record at the relevant venue
This season away: won 0, drew 0, lost 6 of 6, scoring 4 and conceding 14. Last season away: won 3, drew 6, lost 9 of 18, scoring 21 and conceding 37 -- 0.83 points a game.
Its last five league matches
Newest first: lost to Edinburgh City 1-2 away; drew with Stirling Albion 1-1 at home; lost to Clyde 1-2 away; beat Forfar Athletic 2-1 at home; beat Spartans 3-0 at home.
The dugout
The banked record belongs to the club, not one man: 2 different managers took its 13 matches with one recorded (12, 1 apiece), most recently Danny Lennon with 1. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures.
Built 18:04 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.