Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 40% of their games, both teams scoring in 51%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 31%. On the record this leans a tight match.
Queen's Park: 49 league matches in the bank, 13 from this season and the rest from last season. Partick Thistle: 49 league matches in the bank, 13 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Queen's Park's numbers over its games, Partick Thistle's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Queen's Park's own 24 home matches read, one appeared in 7 (29%). In Partick Thistle's own 24 away matches read, 8 (33%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 31% of games.
The two sides
Queen's Park -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 19 of its own 49 (39%); over 1.5 in 35 (71%); over 3.5 in 8 (16%). At home: over 2.5 in 9 of its 24 (38%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 25 of its own 49 (51%). At home: 12 of its 24 (50%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 10 of its own 49 (20%); failed to score in 20 (41%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Queen's Park's own 49 matches read: Queen's Park or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 17 (35%). Queen's Park itself held the lead in 1, winning 1. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 7 of 24.
Partick Thistle -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 20 of its own 49 (41%); over 1.5 in 34 (69%); over 3.5 in 11 (22%). Away: over 2.5 in 9 of its 24 (38%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 25 of its own 49 (51%). Away: 14 of its 24 (58%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 21 of its own 49 (43%); failed to score in 10 (20%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Partick Thistle's own 49 matches read: Partick Thistle or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 18 (37%). Partick Thistle itself held the lead in 13, winning 12. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 8 of 24.
Built 10:04 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.