Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 38% of their games, both teams scoring in 56%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 31%. On the record this leans a tight match.
Queen's Park: 42 league matches in the bank, 6 from this season and the rest from last season. Ayr United: 42 league matches in the bank, 6 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Queen's Park's numbers over its games, Ayr United's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Queen's Park's own 21 home matches read, one appeared in 6 (29%). In Ayr United's own 21 away matches read, 7 (33%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 31% of games.
The two sides
Queen's Park -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 16 of its own 42 (38%); over 1.5 in 29 (69%); over 3.5 in 7 (17%). At home: over 2.5 in 8 of its 21 (38%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 22 of its own 42 (52%). At home: 11 of its 21 (52%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 10 of its own 42 (24%); failed to score in 16 (38%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Queen's Park's own 42 matches read: Queen's Park or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 13 (31%). Queen's Park itself held the lead in 1, winning 1. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 6 of 21.
Ayr United -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 16 of its own 42 (38%); over 1.5 in 30 (71%); over 3.5 in 7 (17%). Away: over 2.5 in 9 of its 21 (43%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 25 of its own 42 (60%). Away: 13 of its 21 (62%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 9 of its own 42 (21%); failed to score in 12 (29%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Ayr United's own 42 matches read: Ayr United or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 13 (31%). Ayr United itself held the lead in 6, winning 5. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 7 of 21.
Built 00:01 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.