Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 61% of their games, both teams scoring in 56%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 49%. On the record this leans a goals match.
Gateshead: 50 league matches in the bank, 10 from this season and the rest from last season. Altrincham: 50 league matches in the bank, 10 from this season and the rest from last season.
The question this step asks
Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.
How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Gateshead's numbers over its games, Altrincham's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.
For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Gateshead's own 24 home matches read, one appeared in 17 (71%). In Altrincham's own 25 away matches read, 7 (28%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 49% of games.
The two sides
Gateshead -- at home
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 31 of its own 50 (62%); over 1.5 in 41 (82%); over 3.5 in 16 (32%). At home: over 2.5 in 12 of its 24 (50%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 25 of its own 50 (50%). At home: 11 of its 24 (46%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 7 of its own 50 (14%); failed to score in 20 (40%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Gateshead's own 50 matches read: Gateshead or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 32 (64%). Gateshead itself held the lead in 7, winning 7. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 17 of 24.
Altrincham -- away
Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 30 of its own 50 (60%); over 1.5 in 37 (74%); over 3.5 in 10 (20%). Away: over 2.5 in 13 of its 25 (52%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 31 of its own 50 (62%). Away: 15 of its 25 (60%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 10 of its own 50 (20%); failed to score in 10 (20%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Altrincham's own 50 matches read: Altrincham or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 18 (36%). Altrincham itself held the lead in 10, winning 10. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 7 of 25.
Built 19:01 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.