Boreham Wood scores heaviest in the 76-90+ spell and concedes heaviest in 46-60; Kidderminster Harriers scores heaviest in 76-90+ and concedes heaviest in 16-30.
Boreham Wood: 50 league matches in the bank, 10 from this season and the rest from last season. Kidderminster Harriers: 10 league matches in the bank.
The question this step asks
Step three is GOALS, AND WHEN THEY COME. Not just how many each side scores and lets in, but the minute bands they come in, who lands the first blow, what each side does after falling behind, and who finds goals late. A side that concedes early and scores late reads very differently from one that does the opposite, at the same goal difference.
Side by side: Boreham Wood scores most in the 76-90+ band (28 of 107); Boreham Wood concedes most in the 46-60 band (15 of 61); Kidderminster Harriers scores most in the 76-90+ band (4 of 13); Kidderminster Harriers concedes most in the 16-30 band (4 of 8). Who lands the first blow and who lands the last is the question this step exists to ask.
The two sides
Boreham Wood -- at home
Goals a game
Scores 2.1 and concedes 1.2 a game over its last 50 league matches; at home, 2.2 for and 1.1 against over 24.
When it scores
Of 107 scored across its own 50 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 11; 16-30: 18; 31-45+: 16; 46-60: 16; 61-75: 18; 76-90+: 28. Its heaviest scoring spell is after the 75th minute -- 28 of 107 (26%).
When it concedes
Of 61 conceded across its own 50 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 5; 16-30: 11; 31-45+: 9; 46-60: 15; 61-75: 8; 76-90+: 13.
The first goal
Scored first in 34 of its 50 read -- then won 25, drew 7, lost 2; conceded first in 15 -- pulled back 6 wins and 2 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 21 points.
Two-goal swings
Led by two goals at some point in 22 of its 50 read, winning 21 of them; trailed by two in 5, rescuing nothing; was ahead at some point without winning in 11.
Kidderminster Harriers -- away
Goals a game
Scores 1.3 and concedes 0.8 a game over its last 10 league matches; away, 1.8 for and 1.2 against over 4.
When it scores
Of 13 scored across its own 10 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 1; 16-30: 2; 31-45+: 2; 46-60: 3; 61-75: 1; 76-90+: 4. Its heaviest scoring spell is after the 75th minute -- 4 of 13 (31%).
When it concedes
Of 8 conceded across its own 10 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 1; 16-30: 4; 31-45+: 1; 46-60: 0; 61-75: 1; 76-90+: 1.
The first goal
Scored first in 5 of its 10 read -- then won 4, drew 1, lost 0; conceded first in 4 -- pulled back 1 win and 1 draw from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 4 points.
Two-goal swings
Led by two goals at some point in 3 of its 10 read, winning 3 of them; trailed by two in 1, rescuing nothing; was ahead at some point without winning in 1.
Built 19:01 from matches completed before
kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator —
not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.