Leeds United v Tottenham Hotspur

Premier League, game week 10 — UK time

Step 4 of 4 — The bookies' favourite markets.

What this step says

Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 53% of their games, both teams scoring in 56%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 46%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.

Skip to the appraisal — and the market

Leeds United: 47 league matches in the bank, 9 from this season and the rest from last season. Tottenham Hotspur: 47 league matches in the bank, 9 from this season and the rest from last season.

The question this step asks

Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.

How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Leeds United's numbers over its games, Tottenham Hotspur's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.

For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Leeds United's own 23 home matches read, one appeared in 9 (39%). In Tottenham Hotspur's own 23 away matches read, 12 (52%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 46% of games.

The two sides

Leeds United -- at home

Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 23 of its own 47 (49%); over 1.5 in 34 (72%); over 3.5 in 15 (32%). At home: over 2.5 in 12 of its 23 (52%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 27 of its own 47 (57%). At home: 13 of its 23 (57%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 11 of its own 47 (23%); failed to score in 15 (32%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Leeds United's own 47 matches read: Leeds United or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 19 (40%). Leeds United itself held the lead in 9, winning 9. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 9 of 23.

Tottenham Hotspur -- away

Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 27 of its own 47 (57%); over 1.5 in 38 (81%); over 3.5 in 12 (26%). Away: over 2.5 in 13 of its 23 (57%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 26 of its own 47 (55%). Away: 11 of its 23 (48%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 13 of its own 47 (28%); failed to score in 11 (23%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Tottenham Hotspur's own 47 matches read: Tottenham Hotspur or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 24 (51%). Tottenham Hotspur itself held the lead in 9, winning 9. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 12 of 23.

Built 18:04 from matches completed before kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator — not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.