# Queens Park Rangers v Lincoln City — the Match Wizard Championship, game week 15 — Saturday, 7 November 2026, kick-off 15:00 UK time. > The wizard is price-blind: four steps on played-match facts alone, then your appraisal — and only then the market. Read it in order. Nothing here is a tip or a selection. Queens Park Rangers: 50 league matches in the bank, 14 from this season and the rest from last season. Lincoln City: 50 league matches in the bank, 14 from this season and the rest from last season in the League One. ## Step 1 of 4 — The table **Lincoln City is new to this division, so the rank comparison rests on less than a shared season. Against the block the other keeps: Queens Park Rangers takes 1.50 points a game, Lincoln City 1.89 -- the block form is Lincoln City's.** Step one is THE TABLE: rank against rank, and the blocks -- the table cut into a top, middle and bottom block, drawn from last season's final standings. The question is not just where each side stands but how it behaves against the company the other keeps: does it play to rank against the blocks above and below, or come apart? ### Queens Park Rangers -- at home - **Where it stands:** Stands 11th of 24 after 14 games, with 21 points. Last season it finished 15th of 24 in this division. - **Its block:** By last season's final table it sits in the middle block (9th to 16th). Blocks are drawn from last season because the current table is only 14 games old. - **Against today's opponent's block:** Today it faces a side new to its division. Against that block it has won 1, drew 3, lost 0 of 4 -- 6 points of 12. At home against them: won 1 of 3. Away against them: won 0 of 1. - **Across all the blocks:** Across the blocks, over the last two seasons: against the top block won 4, drew 0, lost 12 of 16 (0.75 a game); against the middle block won 4, drew 4, lost 6 of 14 (1.14 a game); against the bottom block won 8, drew 6, lost 2 of 16 (1.88 a game); against sides new to the division won 1, drew 3, lost 0 of 4 (1.50 a game). ### Lincoln City -- away - **Where it stands:** Stands 19th of 24 after 14 games, with 15 points. It was not in this division last season -- it came up from the League One, where it finished 1st of 24. - **Its block:** New to the division this season, so it takes no block from last season's final table. - **Against today's opponent's block:** Today it faces a side from the middle block (9th to 16th). Against that block it has won 11, drew 3, lost 5 of 19 -- 36 points of 57. At home against them: won 4 of 7. Away against them: won 7 of 12. - **Across all the blocks:** Across the blocks, over the last two seasons: against the top block won 7, drew 6, lost 1 of 14 (1.93 a game); against the middle block won 11, drew 3, lost 5 of 19 (1.89 a game); against the bottom block won 9, drew 1, lost 4 of 14 (2.00 a game); against sides new to the division won 2, drew 0, lost 1 of 3 (2.00 a game). ## Step 2 of 4 — Home and away form **-0.32 points a game is the venue form gap, in Lincoln City's favour: Queens Park Rangers takes 1.48 a game at home over the last two seasons, Lincoln City 1.80 away.** Step two is HOME AND AWAY FORM -- the home side judged on its home record, the away side on its away record, because those are the records that will be on the pitch. The last five reach back into last season where this season is too young to answer, and say so. ### Queens Park Rangers -- at home - **Its record at the relevant venue:** This season at home: won 3, drew 3, lost 1 of 7, scoring 14 and conceding 6. Last season at home: won 8, drew 1, lost 9 of 18, scoring 34 and conceding 33 -- 1.39 points a game. - **Its last five league matches:** Newest first: drew with Burnley 1-1 at home; lost to Southampton 1-4 away; beat Swansea City 5-0 at home; lost to Birmingham City 0-3 away; beat Derby County 4-1 at home. - **The dugout:** Every one of the 36 banked matches with a manager recorded was taken by Julien Stéphan. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures. ### Lincoln City -- away - **Its record at the relevant venue:** This season away: won 3, drew 1, lost 3 of 7, scoring 6 and conceding 8. Last season away in the League One: won 10, drew 5, lost 3 of 18, scoring 30 and conceding 18 -- 1.94 points a game. - **Its last five league matches:** Newest first: lost to Watford 0-1 away; lost to Birmingham City 1-3 at home; beat Burnley 4-1 at home; drew with Millwall 2-2 away; lost to West Ham United 0-6 at home. - **The dugout:** The banked record belongs to the club, not one man: 2 different managers took its 17 matches with one recorded (11, 6 apiece), most recently Tom William Shaw with 6. Who picks the team today is not yet recorded this season, so a summer change of manager would not show in these figures. ## Step 3 of 4 — Goals, and when they come **Queens Park Rangers scores heaviest in the 31-45+ spell and concedes heaviest in 46-60; Lincoln City scores heaviest in 31-45+ and concedes heaviest in 46-60.** Step three is GOALS, AND WHEN THEY COME. Not just how many each side scores and lets in, but the minute bands they come in, who lands the first blow, what each side does after falling behind, and who finds goals late. A side that concedes early and scores late reads very differently from one that does the opposite, at the same goal difference. Side by side: Queens Park Rangers scores most in the 31-45+ band (15 of 69); Queens Park Rangers concedes most in the 46-60 band (16 of 74); Lincoln City scores most in the 31-45+ band (23 of 86); Lincoln City concedes most in the 46-60 band (12 of 56). Who lands the first blow and who lands the last is the question this step exists to ask. ### Queens Park Rangers -- at home - **Goals a game:** Scores 1.4 and concedes 1.5 a game over its last 50 league matches; at home, 1.9 for and 1.6 against over 25. - **When it scores:** Of 69 scored across its own 50 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 9; 16-30: 10; 31-45+: 15; 46-60: 8; 61-75: 12; 76-90+: 15. Its heaviest scoring spell is after the 75th minute -- 15 of 69 (22%). - **When it concedes:** Of 74 conceded across its own 50 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 14; 16-30: 10; 31-45+: 11; 46-60: 16; 61-75: 8; 76-90+: 15. - **The first goal:** Scored first in 16 of its 50 read -- then won 12, drew 2, lost 2; conceded first in 27 -- pulled back 5 wins and 4 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 19 points. - **Two-goal swings:** Led by two goals at some point in 11 of its 50 read, winning 11 of them; trailed by two in 15, rescuing 1 result; was ahead at some point without winning in 4. ### Lincoln City -- away - **Goals a game:** Scores 1.7 and concedes 1.1 a game over its last 50 league matches; away, 1.4 for and 1.0 against over 25. - **When it scores:** Of 86 scored across its own 50 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 10; 16-30: 9; 31-45+: 23; 46-60: 10; 61-75: 16; 76-90+: 18. - **When it concedes:** Of 56 conceded across its own 50 matches with times recorded: 1-15: 5; 16-30: 6; 31-45+: 10; 46-60: 12; 61-75: 12; 76-90+: 11. - **The first goal:** Scored first in 32 of its 50 read -- then won 26, drew 4, lost 2; conceded first in 16 -- pulled back 3 wins and 4 draws from them. Across every match where it trailed at some stage it recovered 13 points. - **Two-goal swings:** Led by two goals at some point in 19 of its 50 read, winning 16 of them; trailed by two in 7, rescuing 1 result; was ahead at some point without winning in 6. ## Step 4 of 4 — The bookies' favourite markets **Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 60% of their games, both teams scoring in 55%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 58%. On the record this leans a goals match.** Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds. How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Queens Park Rangers's numbers over its games, Lincoln City's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so. For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Queens Park Rangers's own 25 home matches read, one appeared in 16 (64%). In Lincoln City's own 25 away matches read, 13 (52%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 58% of games. ### Queens Park Rangers -- at home - **Over and under:** Over 2.5 goals in 31 of its own 50 (62%); over 1.5 in 38 (76%); over 3.5 in 19 (38%). At home: over 2.5 in 20 of its 25 (80%). - **Both teams to score:** Both teams scored in 30 of its own 50 (60%). At home: 18 of its 25 (72%). - **Clean sheets and blanks:** Kept a clean sheet in 11 of its own 50 (22%); failed to score in 16 (32%). - **Two goals clear:** Counted over Queens Park Rangers's own 50 matches read: Queens Park Rangers or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 26 (52%). Queens Park Rangers itself held the lead in 11, winning 11. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 16 of 25. ### Lincoln City -- away - **Over and under:** Over 2.5 goals in 29 of its own 50 (58%); over 1.5 in 37 (74%); over 3.5 in 17 (34%). Away: over 2.5 in 12 of its 25 (48%). - **Both teams to score:** Both teams scored in 25 of its own 50 (50%). Away: 10 of its 25 (40%). - **Clean sheets and blanks:** Kept a clean sheet in 19 of its own 50 (38%); failed to score in 8 (16%). - **Two goals clear:** Counted over Lincoln City's own 50 matches read: Lincoln City or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 26 (52%). Lincoln City itself held the lead in 19, winning 16. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 13 of 25. ## Your appraisal — and now the market **Lincoln City is new to this division, so the rank comparison rests on less than a shared season. Against the block the other keeps: Queens Park Rangers takes 1.50 points a game, Lincoln City 1.89 -- the block form is Lincoln City's. -0.32 points a game is the venue form gap, in Lincoln City's favour: Queens Park Rangers takes 1.48 a game at home over the last two seasons, Lincoln City 1.80 away. Queens Park Rangers scores heaviest in the 31-45+ spell and concedes heaviest in 46-60; Lincoln City scores heaviest in 31-45+ and concedes heaviest in 46-60. Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 60% of their games, both teams scoring in 55%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 58%. On the record this leans a goals match.** If the pattern holds -- and a pattern is a shape, not a promise: Lincoln City lands the first blow more often (32 of 50 to 16 of 50); when a lead builds towards 2UP it is more often Lincoln City's -- two goals clear in 19 of 50, against 11 of 50. That read is built from the four steps, with no price in your ear -- the steps hold the evidence if you want the post-mortem. Now the market gets its say. Where it agrees with you it got there first; where it does not, your read and the crowd's disagree -- that is the conversation this tool exists to set up, and no measured edge backs either side of it. The tissue is a plain goals model: Queens Park Rangers 1.45 goals expected, Lincoln City 1.73, from two seasons of scoring rates (25 home matches and 25 away in the bank), shrunk toward the division average. It is calibrated against nothing and claims no edge -- it exists to make your view concrete before the market speaks. Note: Lincoln City's figures include last season in the League One, where goals came against different company. - **Match result:** Our tissue: Queens Park Rangers 3.10 (32%), the draw 4.30 (23%), Lincoln City 2.25 (44%). The market's averages: 1.61, 3.73 and 4.40. The widest gap is on Lincoln City: the market offers 4.40 against our 2.25. If our figures are right that is value; nothing proves they are. - **Over or under 2.5 goals:** Our tissue: over 2.5 1.62 (62%), under 2.5 2.60 (38%). The market's averages: over 2.5 1.73, under 2.5 2.10. Close to our view -- no argument either way. - **Both teams to score:** Our tissue: yes 1.59 (63%), no 2.70 (37%). The market's averages: yes 1.73, no 1.95. Close to our view -- no argument either way. - **The 2UP fact:** For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Queens Park Rangers's own 25 home matches read, one appeared in 16 (64%). In Lincoln City's own 25 away matches read, 13 (52%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 58% of games. No tissue is offered for this -- the played-match rates above are the honest read. The market figures are the AVERAGE pre-match odds our feed records across books, not a best price -- a shaded average, so small gaps mean nothing. ## Half-time The HTML page reads the second half from any half-time score you give it: /football/wizard/championship/2026-11-07/queens-park-rangers-v-lincoln-city/halftime/ Built 2026-11-05T18:04:55+00:00 from matches completed before kick-off.