Charlton Athletic v Sheffield United

Championship, game week 15 — UK time

Step 4 of 4 — The bookies' favourite markets.

What this step says

Averaging the two sides' own rates: over 2.5 goals in 54% of their games, both teams scoring in 60%, and a two-goal lead for one side or the other in 34%. On the record there is no strong lean either way on goals.

Skip to the appraisal — and the market

Charlton Athletic: 50 league matches in the bank, 14 from this season and the rest from last season. Sheffield United: 50 league matches in the bank, 14 from this season and the rest from last season.

The question this step asks

Step four is THE BOOKIES' FAVOURITE MARKETS -- over and under, both teams to score, and the two-goal lead that pays the 2UP offer out early -- read from what these two sides have actually produced, with the denominator on every figure. Still no price: these are the match's tendencies, not its odds.

How the counting works, once for the whole step: every figure is counted over ONE side's own matches -- Charlton Athletic's numbers over its games, Sheffield United's over its own. The two clubs are never pooled into one denominator; where a single figure for this fixture is wanted, it is the AVERAGE of the two sides' rates, and says so.

For the 2UP offer the fact that matters is a two-goal lead for one team or the other at ANY point, not the final margin. In Charlton Athletic's own 25 home matches read, one appeared in 5 (20%). In Sheffield United's own 25 away matches read, 12 (48%). Averaging the two sides' rates -- never pooling their matches -- that is 34% of games.

The two sides

Charlton Athletic -- at home

Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 22 of its own 50 (44%); over 1.5 in 35 (70%); over 3.5 in 10 (20%). At home: over 2.5 in 10 of its 25 (40%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 28 of its own 50 (56%). At home: 13 of its 25 (52%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 12 of its own 50 (24%); failed to score in 13 (26%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Charlton Athletic's own 50 matches read: Charlton Athletic or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 17 (34%). Charlton Athletic itself held the lead in 4, winning 3. In its home matches: one side or the other went two up in 5 of 25.

Sheffield United -- away

Over and under
Over 2.5 goals in 32 of its own 50 (64%); over 1.5 in 40 (80%); over 3.5 in 18 (36%). Away: over 2.5 in 14 of its 25 (56%).
Both teams to score
Both teams scored in 32 of its own 50 (64%). Away: 15 of its 25 (60%).
Clean sheets and blanks
Kept a clean sheet in 13 of its own 50 (26%); failed to score in 8 (16%).
Two goals clear
Counted over Sheffield United's own 50 matches read: Sheffield United or the side it was playing that day went two goals up in 26 (52%). Sheffield United itself held the lead in 18, winning 15. In its away matches: one side or the other went two up in 12 of 25.

Built 18:04 from matches completed before kick-off. Every figure is an observed count with its denominator — not a forecast, and nothing here is a tip or a selection.